Cheat Sheet for the future?

in bitcoin •  6 days ago 

Can Bitcoin really be this predictable?!

I have a very simple answer...

Probably not.

That being said, there may be some predictive power here based on past patterns.

Without further adu, the future price cycles of bitcoin:

image.png

(Source: https://twitter.com/AurelienOhayon/status/1555301031399112705/photo/1)

This model implies shorter and shorter time frames which I don't fully subscribe to.

For example the 2017 peak to 2021 peak was almost exact 4 years.

The next peak would be late 2025 based on that pattern, while this model points to the peak happening beginning of 2024...

More than 18 months difference...

Seems like wishful thinking to me.

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